Sports

I Said It: WVU loses to Oklahoma State on Saturday

The last time I made this prediction, the Cyclones of Iowa State made Mountaineer fans ugly cry. Hate to be the bearer of bad news, but it’s going to happen again on Saturday. Get the tissues ready.

Now, the Mountaineers have played well since that loss, but against 5-6 loss inferior opponents. The Cowboys of Oklahoma State haven’t had a very successful season either, but after breaking down the WVU film from the Iowa State game, I noticed so many flaws that the Pokes are going to attack and have success attacking it.

First off, this is a weird football team. This is a team that got blown out by Texas Tech and Kansas State. This is a team who started the season 4-1. This a team that beat Texas and was a two-point conversion away from stunning Oklahoma in Norman. Just very sporadic and weird times in Stillwater, but Mike Gundy is still Mike Gundy.

Mike Gundy
Mike Gundy with offensive coordinator Dana Holgorsen in 2010

Before I dive in to the weaknesses for WVU which will result in the thumping in Stillwater, let’s acknowledge how awesome these two coaches are. These two are a lot alike. Very charismatic and are true characters. They’re both also very good football coaches. Just wanted to point that out.

Now, time for Coach Wyrick to break it down for you. I will give you 3 Reasons.


1. Get To Grier:

The ability for the Pokes to get to the quarterback and create pressure on pretty boy Grier. That’s where they are going to give the West Virginia offense a world of trouble. In the Iowa State game, Will Grier was sacked SEVEN times. The Mountaineer offense only amassed 152 total yards of offense. West Virginia will need to put up over 400+ yards of offense to beat the Oklahoma State Cowboys in Stillwater on Saturday, and I don’t see that happening.

2. Ground And Pound:

The Cyclones managed to hang 500 yards of offense on West Virginia and a lot of that was because of the ability to run the football at will.

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Iowa State running back David Montgomery scampers for the end zone

Oklahoma State running back Justice Hill has ran for over 930 yards on the season and will break 1,000 on Saturday in Boone Pickens Stadium. Massive holes will open for the Cowboys and they will establish a balanced offense that will keep you on your toes and will big play you down field. WVU gave up some HUGE big plays in the Iowa State game. I expect that to happen again on Saturday in Stillwater.

3. Ball Security:

If you don’t shoot yourself in the foot and start beating yourselves, you have a chance to beat West Virginia. Especially at home. Turnovers are momentum drainers and in this game, the Pokes need to have the momentum on their side. Iowa State only turned the ball over once against the Mountaineers and even had a huge momentum drainer when WVU blocked a field goal and ran it back for a touchdown. The Pokes will hold on to the football and flip the field when forced to a three and out. They will give West Virginia a long field and will force that offense to go 65+ yards to the Cowboy red zone.

The Cowboys have a three game winning streak on West Virginia and I think that streak extends to four after the 3:30 ABC showdown on Saturday.

You want to talk fairy tales? Okay, let’s do it.


Say West Virginia beats Oklahoma State and then beats Oklahoma. That means WVU would have to play Oklahoma in back to back weeks. The odds of beating the same team twice in fourteen days are incredibly slim. But, like I said, let’s just say that happens.

If the current top four Par The Course, that would leave the College Football Playoff rankings looking like this:

1.) Alabama Crimson Tide

2.) Clemson Tigers

3.) Notre Dame Fighting Irish

4.) Michigan Wolverines

The truth of the matter is this. WVU is not going to play for a National Championship. They have an 11% chance of making the playoff and a 0.8% chance of winning the College Football Playoff. Your best case scenario would be this:

Finish as a one-loss Big 12 champ with back-to-back victories over OU and hope for an upset in the Big Ten championship game. The Mountaineer defense has been better than Oklahoma’s so far in 2018, and WVU did win in Austin. In order to eliminate a debate against the Big Ten champ, it would help West Virginia exponentially if Northwestern won. Which is highly unlikely to happen. So, shoot for the moon West Virginia fans. Even if you miss, at least you made a New Years Six bowl game. But Saturday, you ugly cry because of this guy.

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He’s a man and he is 40.

 

PREDICTION

Oklahoma State 41 WVU 35

Song for Saturday: Kid Rock – Cowboy

I Said It.

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